Trading Pub – 19 Sep 24

00:00: Prediction of a crypto market pump and crash, based on cyclical market analysis and “big charts”
01:03: Central banks easing up on quantitative tightening, leading to a release of liquidity.
03:47: Analysis of the Ethereum-Bitcoin ratio, indicating that Ethereum is likely to start gaining traction against Bitcoin in the near future.
04:45: Bullish outlook on Ethereum, citing the formation of a double bottom pattern and the potential for a swing trade opportunity.
05:50: Observation of various altcoins.
07:47: Analysis of the Base AI token, including its association with PepeCoin.
10:00: Bullish outlook on several legacy coins, such as ARB and Ripple.
11:11: Potential swing trade opportunity in Solana, with a specific entry and stop-loss strategy outlined.
14:05: Using double entries to manage margin and improve trading outcomes by reallocating funds from other positions.
20:05: Executing long trades with specific entry and exit points.
23:40: TAO’s recent price move and potential for further upside, with observation of a potential triple bottom formation.
27:01: Abandoning the Trap 5 narrative for Kaspa as it has not reached new all-time highs.
31:07: Current portfolio allocation of 60% Tao and 33% Casper.
37:26: News of launching a crypto hedge fund called DSV.
41:18: Shifting mindset from bear to bull market, maintaining trading strategies with longs.
47:28: Using existing metrics to identify market bottoms, similar to identifying tops in bear market.
50:46: Profitable shorting strategy during 2018 bear market, using sidestep method to constantly trade in and out.
54:27: Acknowledging occasional mistakes, but emphasising the overall gains made through the successful sidestep strategy.
57:37: The echo chamber effect of social media and its impact on market sentiment.
01:00:46: Explaining the fund’s target audience as fund managers and institutional investors who want crypto exposure without direct involvement.
01:02:06: Discussing the Solana trade as a bullish rectangle play, with profit-taking based on resistance levels rather than a specific timeline.
01:03:38: Crypto market’s reaction to the interest rate cut, speculating on the potential for future stimulus measures.
01:08:04: Seeking fund managers interested in allocating a small portion of their funds to the high-risk crypto pot.
01:08:10: Ski trip with 6 spots left and one more female participant needed, and an invitation to an upcoming Christmas event.